✔ UPDATEDOct 26, 2026 at 5:31 PM CTfresh lines, lineups & odds
A curated watch list of the players Tommy follows, refreshed daily with each one's recent form and an honest next-game read.
⚾ Tommy's Team — Hit Watch
Chance each hitter records at least one hit in his next game (today if his team plays), using the same model as the MLB page: a Log5 base adjusted for platoon (his split vs the starter's hand), ballpark, recent form, weather, Statcast xBA, and the pitcher's contact rate. Each is priced against the best "to record a hit" number across US books (line shopping), and marked BET only when our probability beats that price (positive expected value), never just because it is likely. Cross-checked against Baseball Musings (David Pinto's daily Log5 / Neural-Net hit picks): where both models agree, that's a consensus pick. Projections, not guarantees — confirm the lineup before betting.
⚾ Otto Lopez
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Yordan Alvarez
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Luis Arraez
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Jung Hoo Lee
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Ernie Clement
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Xavier Edwards
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Jacob Wilson
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Bobby Witt Jr.
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Nick Kurtz
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Jac Caglianone
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Yandy Diaz
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Nick Gonzales
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Jake McCarthy
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Brandon Marsh
⚠ No Game Today
⚾ Chandler Simpson
⚠ No Game Today
⭐ Tommy's Players
Source: ESPN WNBA box scores, pulled 2026-10-26. "Last 5" is each player's five most recent completed games (current, from box scores — not the lagging game-log feed). Projections use recent form, opponent defensive strength, home/away, and rest. Projections, not guarantees.
⭐ Paige Bueckers (DAL)
Next: TBD
📊 Last 5 games
🔮 Next-game projection
No upcoming game on the schedule to project.
CONFIDENCE: LOW
⭐ Allisha Gray (ATL)
Next: @ GS · 2026-10-27
📊 Last 5 games
🔮 Next-game projection
🛡️ Opp defense: GS allows 75.7 pts (rank 1 of 13, tough) · away · 3d rest
Not modeled (not guessed): position-specific defense, teammate injuries, game pace.
CONFIDENCE: LOW
⭐ Angel Reese (ATL)
Next: @ GS · 2026-10-27
📊 Last 5 games
🔮 Next-game projection
🛡️ Opp defense: GS allows 75.7 pts (rank 1 of 13, tough) · away · 3d rest
Not modeled (not guessed): position-specific defense, teammate injuries, game pace.
⭐ Breanna Stewart (NY)
Next: TBD
📊 Last 5 games
🔮 Next-game projection
No upcoming game on the schedule to project.
⭐ Kelsey Mitchell (IND)
Next: TBD
📊 Last 5 games
🔮 Next-game projection
No upcoming game on the schedule to project.
⭐ Caitlin Clark (IND)
Next: TBD
📊 Last 5 games
🔮 Next-game projection
No upcoming game on the schedule to project.
⭐ Olivia Miles (MIN)
Next: TBD
📊 Last 5 games
🔮 Next-game projection
No upcoming game on the schedule to project.
📊 Model Scoreboard — honest accuracy
Our model, graded on 19,932 logged picks: hitters got a hit 60.0% of the time versus an average quote of 61.7%, Brier 0.237 (lower is better; 0.25 is a coin flip). Green rows mean the quote matched reality; the fresh calibration pulls the high bands back toward honest.