🏀 WNBA — Props & Consistency

✔ UPDATEDSep 11, 2026 at 3:01 PM CTfresh lines, lineups & odds

⭐ Tommy's Players 📊 Accuracy

🏀 NO GAME TODAYno WNBA games on the slatesee next-game projections on the ⭐ Tommy's Players tab

📊 WNBA Accuracy / Track Record

Best-bet over/under picks, graded vs actual box scores. Logged pre-tip so there's no hindsight.

🎯 Best bets overall: 91/121 = 75%

Last 5 logged days: 37/50 = 74%

Accuracy

75%

91-30 · 121 bets

ROI

+8%

+0.8u · 11 priced

Beat the close

29%

avg -1.1% CLV · 7 bets

ROI is real profit at the prices we posted; CLV (did we beat the closing line?) is the honest sign of edge. Both fill in as we log each WNBA pick's entry and closing odds.

Date	Best bets	Hit%
2026-07-30	5/7	71%
2026-07-29	8/10	80%
2026-07-28	8/10	80%
2026-07-22	8/11	73%
2026-07-20	8/12	67%
2026-07-18	7/12	58%
2026-07-17	9/12	75%
2026-07-16	1/1	100%
2026-07-15	10/12	83%
2026-07-14	2/3	67%
2026-07-13	9/12	75%
2026-07-12	7/10	70%
2026-07-10	9/9	100%

Validation: a walk-forward backtest (197 player-games, no lookahead) had over-picks at P≥60% winning ≈60% (95% CI 56–64%), above the 52.4% break-even. Probabilities are now Platt-calibrated so the % are honest. Not betting advice.